Visual Strategy Trader charts


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Hang Seng cash index - VST



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Entry/Exit/Bands:
6 / 4 / 5 ATRs
VST total profit:
+263%




Hang Seng cash index - VSTpro Long


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Entry/Exit/Bands:
Same as VST chart
Market Trend Filter:
Enabled
SmartStop:
Enabled
VSTpro total profit:
+860%








SPDR S&P500 Index ETF (SPY) - VST


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Entry/Exit/Bands:
4 / 1 / 2.5 ATRs
VST total profit:
+112%




SPDR S&P500 Index ETF (SPY) - VSTpro Long


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Entry/Exit/Bands:
Same as VST chart
Market Trend Filter:
Enabled
SmartStop:
Enabled
VSTpro total profit:
+216%




SPDR S&P500 Index ETF (SPY) - VSTpro Short


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Entry/Exit/Bands:
2 / 6 / 2 ATRs
Market Trend Filter:
Enabled
SmartStop:
Disabled
VSTpro total profit:
+240%








SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) - VST


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Entry/Exit/Bands:
6 / 1 / 3.5 ATRs
VST total profit:
+111%




SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) - VSTpro Long


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Entry/Exit/Bands:
Same as VST chart
Market Trend Filter:
Enabled
SmartStop:
Disabled
VSTpro total profit:
+265%




SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) - VSTpro Short!


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Entry/Exit/Bands:
6 / 5 / 2 ATRs
Market Trend Filter:
Enabled
SmartStop:
Enabled
VSTpro total profit:
+331%









John Ehlers' Zero Lag EMA - backtesting with VSTpro


"Zero Lag is a new concept in adaptive technical analysis.
This simple technique of applying a measured amount of error correction has resulted in both an effective technical indicator
and automatic trading strategy that are free from the transients that usually accompany more sophisticated filters."


Well, let's take a look.

First, we'll check that the only available MetaStock code for John Ehlers' Zero Lag EMA plots a correct and identical Zero-Lag setup:



John Ehlers' Zero Lag EMA TradeStation indicator on his MSFT chart







Zero Lag EMA MetaStock indicator on identical chart







John Ehlers' original Zero Lag EMA strategy (32/22/0.75) performance on MSFT for past 12 years

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As above, but with 10/16/0.75 parameters

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... and with the VSTpro's Market Trend Filter (MTF) added - note the reduced risk

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VSTmod backtest median results of John Ehlers' original Zero Lag EMA strategy (32/22/0.75),
based on 12 years' EOD data of all current S&P 500 stocks:



     
Median net Profit:
+55.2%
 
Median Max Drawdown:
65.3%
 
Median Profit/Risk ratio:
1.0   
 
Median Win Rate:
36%
 
Median Win/Loss ratio:
2.4   
 
Average trade duration days:
36   
 
     







* Signals & stats based on 12 years' EOD historical data from Premium Data.
* All Entry/Exit/Stop signals are executed on the next trading day's Open.
* Transaction costs:  0.1%
* Leverage/ Position Size adjusted for maximum 30% historical drawdowns.
* Fixed trades only – no capital compounding applied.





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Disclaimer



Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Results above may vary depending on data used:
We use and recommend EOD data from Premium Data.

VST & VSTpro are educational tools; they are not a recommendation to buy or sell,
and should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading.

Neither Jose Silva nor MetaStockTools.com shall be held liable for
any investment losses based on the use of the VST & VSTpro software.




Copyright © 2010-2011 Jose Silva

Except for personal use, no part of this text may be reproduced in any form
or by any means without the written permission of the author.





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